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  1. J

    Morningstar declares 4% safe once again

    Breaking things down into discretionary / non-discretionary can get a bit complicated. My biggest expense is my rent, around $40k/year. Is that a discretionary expense? I have to pay my rent so from that perspective it's non-discretionary, but I could move tomorrow and only pay perhaps...
  2. J

    Blow that Dough 2024

    I got my sweetie a dozen Krispy Kreme Valentine's donuts. With tax and service incl. tip, it was pricier than a dozen roses most times I buy roses. They may not have smelled as sweet, but they sure taste sweet!
  3. J

    Age difference in relationships post-FIRE

    I (64 M) was FIREd before I met my sweetie (53 F) ten years ago. She's still working. The arrangement mostly works for us but might not be great for everyone. A big part of it is that my sweetie is not the jealous type and is completely okay with me taking off every month or two for weeks at a...
  4. J

    Dave Ramsey rips the 4% rule again today.

    Retiring without knowing about SORR is a bit like being driven around without wearing a seat belt... oh wait I did that back in the '70s too. There really wasn't much 'science' to retiring back when I FIREd in 2001 - I wasn't much different than Peter Lynch or Dave Ramsey in my approach save...
  5. J

    What is your Spreadsheet INFLATION assumption?

    I don't use a single rate, but rather will play around with different inflation assumptions to see how the overall picture is affected by changes to inflation. It's right up there with the most important variables impacting the viability of financial plans. I'll look at rates from 2% up to 5%...
  6. J

    Blow that Dough 2024

    Getting ready to BTD on 2024 travel. Well actually it's already started...some plane tickets purchased, some car rentals booked, some airbnbs paid for... New Zealand in a month for a month (hiking and touring) Indonesia in April (visiting a friend on Java then exploring Sumatra and Sulawesi)...
  7. J

    Ibonds when to stop buying?

    I am more or less using this approach. By supplementing (inflation-adjusted) Social Security benefits with cashed-in (inflation-adjusted) I-bonds annually, I will have an annual inflation-proof income that will be enough to comfortably live on - if not luxuriously, then at least without need of...
  8. J

    Televisions - last ditch effort

    I don't have a TV with 'Google TV' built into it, but I do have a 'Google TV with Chromecast' dongle that plugs into an HDMI port on my ten-year-old TV that works pretty well. I use a lot of streaming apps including YouTubeTV instead of cable, so perhaps that makes a big difference.
  9. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    I'm back from two weeks in Korea. The airfare ($1,400) was a real BTD, but otherwise prices were very reasonable. Total for the trip was around $3k, which is more or less in line with what I'm currently budgeting for a two week trip. Next up is Costa Rica over Christmas which may well be a real...
  10. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    This may not seem like a big BTD deal, but it felt like one to me... I shelled out an extra few hundred dollars for a nonstop flight to Seoul instead of one with stops and/or long layovers. Fourteen hours instead of forty, no long airport walks between gates, no sleeping in corners of the...
  11. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    Just returned from a week-long holiday in Yorkshire with my sweetie! It's funny how it wound up being much more of a BTD than I expected, but everything adds up. Airfares were relatively cheap for the summer, and our AirBnb plus an extra night in a motel near Cambridge was a good value, but...
  12. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    Thanks, skyking1! I had another BTD moment related to the hiking trip... I was able to book campgrounds in both Olympic and North Cascades NP at which I will set up my tent, but Mount Rainier was another story - all the campgrounds were booked except for the two most appealing ones - and those...
  13. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    I continue to blow my dough on travel - I've added a camping trip to the three Washington State national parks in July (on top of earlier-this-year trips to Cancun, Chile, and the Baltic States, and later-in-the-year trips to Yorkshire, South Korea, and Costa Rica). I've also started to blow my...
  14. J

    Annual travel budget? Trips/nights?

    I've been budgeting about USD $15k per year (for about 15 weeks of travel) prior to this year, but in a ‘blow that dough’ frame of mind i decided to not limit my travel spending this year and figured I’ll spend under $33k. So far, though, I’m on target to spend around $23k i figure… after two...
  15. J

    What is your age and your AA for your nest egg?

    VOO tracks the S&P 500 whilst VTI tracks the total market. They tend to move in á highly correlated fashion but aren’t quite the same thing. If you have access to VTI it is a better proxy for ‘owning the whole market’ but since S&P 500 index funds were a thing before other index funds, you might...
  16. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    I will be Blowing that Dough throughout this year on travel! While we are (or appear to be) between the more intense phases of any major pandemics, I will be getting in as much travel as I can. Chile (Atacama Desert, Santiago, Wine country, Lake District - I already visted Patagonia) this...
  17. J

    Blow that Dough 2023

    Agreed. My mother taught me when I was a kid to always crack my eggs into a separate cup or container (to make sure the egg wasn't bad), and to add the egg from that cup as required by the recipe. This occasionally saved me in my youth from ruining a recipe, but I think it's been at least...
  18. J

    What is your age and your AA for your nest egg?

    63, 50/50 on a reverse glide path - five years ago my AA was 30/70 and I’ve been letting the equities (in index funds, overweighted towards value - e.g. MGV - and slightly overweight small caps as well) ride since, and will continue to do so until they hit 70%, at which point I’ll start annual...
  19. J

    What are reasonable pessimistic assumptions

    I think that even if the SS Trust Fund were completely drained and promised SS payments could only be paid from current taxes, about 75% of promised payments could be made. That seems to me to be the worst case scenario and going down to a 60% payout seems over the top conservative.
  20. J

    No number credit cards

    I have an Apple Card and it works well for most purposes, but when I wanted to use it to rent a car in Australia recently, the rental agency would not accept it, saying that not having a visible card number did not work with their system. Not a big problem as I have other “normal" cards, but...
  21. J

    Mental Accounting - Retiring at the Beginning of a Downturn

    With a 70/30 AA, and if you're invested in the market rather than for example all in on TSLA, say you're down about 20% in the 70% or say 15% overall. So your 2.5% WR has ballooned all the way up to, what? Something south of 3%? Doesn't seem like enough reason to change your long term plan.
  22. J

    Blow That Dough - 2022

    Here's what I'd like to be blowing my dough on... - Nice restaurant meals - Travel - Tickets to plays and sporting events Due to a certain current public health situation, here's what I will be blowing my dough on between now and March (when I plan to emerge from my coccoon, based on what I...
  23. J

    Paxlovid Availability

    I would love to have a treatment course of Paxlovid at hand so that I can take it with me in my travels to use in the event of contracting Covid whilst abroad. Anyone have a sense when I will be likely able to acquire it? I know that there will only be about 10 million doses available by June...
  24. J

    Your 2022 S&P Prediction

    4300 I’m putting that based on the following hypothesis: Market rallies/bubbles up another 25% to 5900+ by mid year Market crashes 37% down to ~3700 Market recovers 15% to ~4300 by yearend
  25. J

    Anxiety and Big Decisions

    You will find yourself spending less in Portugal than where you are now, in all likelihood. When you sell your townhouse it will almost certainly net you more than buying something in Portugal will cost you, unless you seriously upscale your tastes/wants. In any case you will have more...
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